The first year of the Biden presidency has seen the “peace through strength” strategy of the 45th President, Donald Trump being replaced by a morally weak and chaotic American foreign policy.
We have witnessed the humiliation of America in Afghanistan – when Biden reversed the Trump strategy – of orderly removal of American citizens, followed by the military hardware – and finally the troops after destroying all strategic infrastructure – into the Biden policy – of troops out first…and leave the military hardware and citizens to the Islamists.
We see the Red Chinese bombers on a daily basis threatening Taiwan by flying across their air space – something never seen under Trump leadership
We see a more belligerent North Korea – coming straight after Trump removed tensions with his historic visit to the peninsula and walking across the demarcation lines
We see Biden pushing Australian PM – Scott Morrison under the bus – when the French complained about the trilateral security partnership between UK, Australia and America and the French loss of a major military sale.
And after all these failures, we now hear the Biden administration loudly advising the likelihood that Russia will invade Ukraine.
And our question is – does this assumption follow the facts or a “smokescreen” so that the weak Democrats claim an imaginary “foreign policy win” in time for the 2022 American election midterms?
Presently Russia is estimated to have 75,000 troops within 200 miles of the Ukrainian border – which would represent only 7.5% of the Russian army personnel – which we would suggest would be reasonable in any peace time situation of protecting your borders. The assumption made by the socialist Democrats that this can be easily increased to 175,000 – is obviously true – but this could happen, today, tomorrow, next week, next year, next decade.
But what would Russia gain from war?
Possibly they could capture Donetsk – with its sizeable Russian minority living there…but Kiev?
Do not forget Russian troops are not battle hardened – Crimea was captured primarily by subterfuge and Russian financed mercenaries – and the only combat tested forces are possibly their air force – with their involvement in the Syrian civil war. And the rebels in Syria do not have the same ground to air missiles as supplied to Ukraine.
Therefore, a quick victory is a dramatic over simplification – and President Putin based on his experience in the Chechen civil war – will not want his ground forces involved in a long-drawn-out battle – especially if NATO is sucked into the conflict either through military personnel or military hardware supplies to Ukraine.
Economically Russia will lose the possibility of Nord Stream 2 pipeline being turned on in Europe for at least one decade (the pipe line lest we forget that Biden lifted sanctions against – allowing its completion) Presently, Russia is holding all the energy cards for Europe…why risk it for the glory of capturing a few hundred miles?
And what would Russia do with Ukraine? Putin’s inner circle are too smart to think that Ukraine could be easily absorbed into a Russian federation (unlike Belorussia) – it might not turn into another Afghanistan – but Ukrainian civil disobedience – would make the territory – not just ungovernable but a huge financial drain for the Russian economy and budget.
So, all the facts above – clearly show that the Biden Democrats are over exaggerating the conflict potential.
The creation of the Biden narrative has already begun as he announced “What I am doing is putting together what I believe . . . will be the most comprehensive and meaningful set of initiatives to make it very, very difficult for Mr Putin to go ahead and do what people are worried he may do,”
And this will be amplified by his Globalist paymasters – and their owned “main stream media” who will step by step – report anonymous U.S intelligence sources making more and more fanciful claims – until they decide – that “Democrat victory” can be declared – as no Russian invasion took place.
The embarrassment over Afghanistan, the bowing to Red China – can be “erased” by this Biden led “imaginary” diplomacy
If our analysis is correct then we are witnessing another leftist Bullshit story – where they are only “strong” against imaginary enemies.
We hope that President Putin does not allow Russia to be “misused” for U.S Socialist – Democrat propaganda purposes – and that the Russian leader will take the initiative and call “a lie – a lie”